What a good job Keynes didn’t believe in forecasting
Keynes is in many people’s minds at the moment, as uncertainty about the course of the economic recovery is high. In May 1933, at roughly the same stage in the cycle as we are today, Keynes wrote in the Times: ‘Confidence has been restored and cheap money established both on long and on short term […]
cutting the deficit
The new Government’s plans to reduce the deficit much more sharply than most people expected. Will this stimulate or depress the economy? Not surprisingly there is a fierce debate about this. But it is a situation in which econometric evidence is not going to be of much use at all in arbitrating the dispute. So […]
