Spring Statement: Reeves should abolish the OBR

By strengthening the OBR, Reeves has created severe difficulties for herself. Vital decisions about our economic future should be made by politicians, not unelected quangocrats, says Paul Ormerod Later today we will know for certain what is in Rachel Reeves’ Spring statement, a budget to all intents and purposes. But as is usually the case […]

The bond markets must not be allowed block defence spending

The Treasury has pledged an extra £2bn for UK exporters to secure overseas defence orders. The Germans are funding increased defence spending through debt so why can’t we? The Chancellor needs to start telling a better story about the future direction of our economy, says Paul Ormerod President Trump wants European countries to spend five […]

What ever happened to levelling up?

Levelling up has all but disappeared from the government’s agenda. That’s a big mistake for growth, writes Paul Ormerod Later this month Chancellor Rachel Reeves will deliver her Spring Statement. It seems to be waited on more in fear than hope. But one area of policy appears to have more or less disappeared from the […]

Reeves has placed an uncertainty premium on the British economy

Rachel Reeves promised to restore economic stability, but the outcome of her various actions has been to increase uncertainty, says Paul Ormerod Daniel Ellsberg, who died in 2023 in his 90s, was a true Renaissance Man.   After a stellar career as an economics student at Harvard, he served in the Marines before working for the […]

Investment can boost growth – if it comes with technological progress

The need to boost the UK’s rate of economic growth was a central theme of the first budget delivered by Rachel Reeves, the Chancellor.   Reeves emphasised the importance of increasing the amount of investment which takes place in the UK.  She sees this as the key way to raise growth. To this end, she announced […]

Borrowing to invest is all very well but what about value for money?

The precise contents of the budget are still secret. But a widely trailed theme is that the Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, wants to create as much scope as possible for extra public sector investment. She appears to be willing to rewrite the existing fiscal rules in order to accommodate the increase. In principle of course there […]

The threat of higher taxes is already harming growth

The Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, had made no secret of her desire to make economic growth her top policy objective.   She reinforced the message this week in an interview with the Financial Times, using the mantra “invest, invest, invest!”.  Perhaps unwittingly, this carries echoes of Karl Mark’s memorable phrase in Das Kapital: “Accumulate, accumulate. That is Moses and the […]

Haldane is right – the Chancellor’s doom-mongering is dangerous

The Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, often mentions her experience as an economist at the Bank of England. But she has been taken to task by no less a figure than the former chief economist of the Bank, Andy Haldane. Haldane notes that “just after the election, there was a sense of refresh, a sense of renewal, a […]

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